Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 99977.614500 105349.686478 110715.846348 116474.771969 122476.627559 128543.661240 135136.496457
2025-09-28 90810.192792 99011.888464 107428.825566 116701.568082 126619.474513 136898.500275 148346.137393
2025-10-05 85479.000540 95727.046062 106467.841057 118542.374605 131715.508650 145628.472223 161410.969381
2025-10-12 81238.429237 93043.569356 105635.802532 120030.688074 135993.057472 153113.308869 172825.399072
2025-10-19 77360.429766 90374.302535 104472.005341 120825.068235 139216.503397 159205.057317 182514.788981
2025-10-26 73668.219461 87629.321834 102966.962925 120994.615863 141527.745441 164109.336822 190742.447677
2025-11-02 70640.670052 85432.868548 101893.674477 121475.163382 144035.132899 169111.211729 198987.571868
2025-11-09 67660.022035 83119.262518 100531.671757 121479.365740 145872.415780 173254.910455 206185.860940
2025-11-16 65688.383391 81865.856501 100290.179554 122683.526051 149013.801770 178835.558695 215003.171865
2025-11-23 63160.455197 79834.626982 99031.722690 122598.543833 150570.318644 182525.363831 221595.624256
2025-11-30 61795.068250 79119.208464 99262.017076 124214.144256 154081.899922 188467.620851 230815.510917
2025-12-07 60236.846081 78096.442298 99061.631427 125260.628092 156878.020512 193549.458639 239027.010437
2025-12-14 58257.080521 76508.187924 98144.283260 125424.150237 158620.487083 197414.228354 245862.376404
2025-12-21 56411.111956 75020.636871 97293.481263 125620.430574 160368.643292 201271.370755 252698.477649
2025-12-28 55567.148890 74743.202047 97892.969983 127565.397441 164226.774869 207661.893022 262601.520271
2026-01-04 54603.289615 74271.422053 98216.853751 129143.457025 167622.813068 213499.217141 271864.592835
2026-01-11 53347.356260 73380.169346 97976.816489 129986.340720 170091.128099 218204.146540 279767.261008
2026-01-18 51851.135695 72129.418916 97239.655723 130166.227687 171706.940230 221851.915409 286380.890240
2026-01-25 50585.840730 71135.770421 96790.633994 130676.358336 173710.838429 225965.689009 293573.597704
2026-02-01 49158.262368 69884.845326 95972.573365 130680.813944 175051.282219 229244.386439 299736.023781
2026-02-08 48359.576043 69436.798493 96164.351408 131959.069544 177992.632588 234515.109051 308392.241512
2026-02-15 47011.711895 68216.715747 95319.069828 131868.862214 179169.516333 237570.653457 314289.450969
2026-02-22 46484.480505 68080.091032 95873.370936 133583.677616 182654.442067 243534.326295 323860.855055